Pimm's Coronation Edition (Credit: Diageo)

Diageo’s mixed results and tariff concerns cast shadow on growth

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Diageo, the renowned purveyor of Johnnie Walker and Guinness, has unveiled its half-year results for the period ending 31 December 2024, revealing a nuanced picture of growth amidst challenging circumstances.

The spirits giant reported a modest 1.0% increase in organic net sales, primarily driven by higher prices that offset a slight 0.2% decline in volume.

However, the company experienced a 1.2% dip in organic operating profit. In light of the current economic and geopolitical uncertainties, Diageo has opted to withdraw its medium-term guidance.

Charlie Huggins, Manager of the Quality Shares Portfolio at Wealth Club, said:

“Diageo returned to growth in the first half of its fiscal year, with strong performances in Guinness and Tequila offsetting weakness in other spirits. This is a solid performance given industry headwinds.

“However, Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports have the potential to stop this recovery in its tracks.

“The US is Diageo’s largest market. To compound matters, the biggest impact of tariffs would be felt on Tequila, which is the fastest growing part of Diageo’s portfolio.

“The scale and breadth of Diageo’s portfolio means it is capable of meeting this challenge head on. It also has scope to accelerate productivity initiatives, which will now become even more important.   

“However, with Diageo’s CEO, Debra Crew, under mounting pressure to turn things around, the last thing she needed was more uncertainty. Trump’s tariffs cloud the outlook and are a major kick in the teeth for shareholders.” 

As Diageo navigates these turbulent waters, its ability to adapt and leverage its diverse portfolio will be crucial in maintaining growth and shareholder confidence.

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